Using surveillance data for early warning modelling of highly pathogenic avian influenza in Europe reveals a seasonal shift in transmission, 2016-2022: [Inkl. correction]

Research output: Contribution to journal › Journal article › Research › peer-review

Standard

Using surveillance data for early warning modelling of highly pathogenic avian influenza in Europe reveals a seasonal shift in transmission, 2016-2022 : [Inkl. correction]. / Jung Kjær, Lene; Ward, Michael P; Boklund, Anette Ella; Larsen, Lars Erik; Hjulsager, Charlotte Kristiane; Kirkeby, Carsten Thure.

In: Scientific Reports, Vol. 13, 15396, 2023.

Research output: Contribution to journal › Journal article › Research › peer-review

Harvard

Jung Kjær, L, Ward, MP, Boklund, AE, Larsen, LE, Hjulsager, CK & Kirkeby, CT 2023, 'Using surveillance data for early warning modelling of highly pathogenic avian influenza in Europe reveals a seasonal shift in transmission, 2016-2022: [Inkl. correction]', Scientific Reports, vol. 13, 15396. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-023-42660-7

APA

Jung Kjær, L., Ward, M. P., Boklund, A. E., Larsen, L. E., Hjulsager, C. K., & Kirkeby, C. T. (2023). Using surveillance data for early warning modelling of highly pathogenic avian influenza in Europe reveals a seasonal shift in transmission, 2016-2022: [Inkl. correction]. Scientific Reports, 13, [15396]. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-023-42660-7

Vancouver

Jung Kjær L, Ward MP, Boklund AE, Larsen LE, Hjulsager CK, Kirkeby CT. Using surveillance data for early warning modelling of highly pathogenic avian influenza in Europe reveals a seasonal shift in transmission, 2016-2022: [Inkl. correction]. Scientific Reports. 2023;13. 15396. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-023-42660-7

Author

Jung Kjær, Lene ; Ward, Michael P ; Boklund, Anette Ella ; Larsen, Lars Erik ; Hjulsager, Charlotte Kristiane ; Kirkeby, Carsten Thure. / Using surveillance data for early warning modelling of highly pathogenic avian influenza in Europe reveals a seasonal shift in transmission, 2016-2022 : [Inkl. correction]. In: Scientific Reports. 2023 ; Vol. 13.

Bibtex

@article{0f764668fc7140efbd027239ddf0dd5e,
title = "Using surveillance data for early warning modelling of highly pathogenic avian influenza in Europe reveals a seasonal shift in transmission, 2016-2022: [Inkl. correction]",
abstract = "Avian influenza in wild birds and poultry flocks constitutes a problem for animal welfare, food security and public health. In recent years there have been increasing numbers of outbreaks in Europe, with many poultry flocks culled after being infected with highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI). Continuous monitoring is crucial to enable timely implementation of control to prevent HPAI spread from wild birds to poultry and between poultry flocks within a country. We here utilize readily available public surveillance data and time-series models to predict HPAI detections within European countries and show a seasonal shift that happened during 2021-2022. The output is models capable of monitoring the weekly risk of HPAI outbreaks, to support decision making.",
keywords = "Animals, Influenza in Birds/epidemiology, Seasons, Disease Outbreaks/veterinary, Public Health, Europe/epidemiology",
author = "{Jung Kj{\ae}r}, Lene and Ward, {Michael P} and Boklund, {Anette Ella} and Larsen, {Lars Erik} and Hjulsager, {Charlotte Kristiane} and Kirkeby, {Carsten Thure}",
note = "Correction: 10.1038/s41598-023-43740-4 Link: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-023-43740-4 {\textcopyright} 2023. Springer Nature Limited.",
year = "2023",
doi = "10.1038/s41598-023-42660-7",
language = "English",
volume = "13",
journal = "Scientific Reports",
issn = "2045-2322",
publisher = "nature publishing group",

}

RIS

TY - JOUR

T1 - Using surveillance data for early warning modelling of highly pathogenic avian influenza in Europe reveals a seasonal shift in transmission, 2016-2022

T2 - [Inkl. correction]

AU - Jung Kjær, Lene

AU - Ward, Michael P

AU - Boklund, Anette Ella

AU - Larsen, Lars Erik

AU - Hjulsager, Charlotte Kristiane

AU - Kirkeby, Carsten Thure

N1 - Correction: 10.1038/s41598-023-43740-4 Link: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-023-43740-4 © 2023. Springer Nature Limited.

PY - 2023

Y1 - 2023

N2 - Avian influenza in wild birds and poultry flocks constitutes a problem for animal welfare, food security and public health. In recent years there have been increasing numbers of outbreaks in Europe, with many poultry flocks culled after being infected with highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI). Continuous monitoring is crucial to enable timely implementation of control to prevent HPAI spread from wild birds to poultry and between poultry flocks within a country. We here utilize readily available public surveillance data and time-series models to predict HPAI detections within European countries and show a seasonal shift that happened during 2021-2022. The output is models capable of monitoring the weekly risk of HPAI outbreaks, to support decision making.

AB - Avian influenza in wild birds and poultry flocks constitutes a problem for animal welfare, food security and public health. In recent years there have been increasing numbers of outbreaks in Europe, with many poultry flocks culled after being infected with highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI). Continuous monitoring is crucial to enable timely implementation of control to prevent HPAI spread from wild birds to poultry and between poultry flocks within a country. We here utilize readily available public surveillance data and time-series models to predict HPAI detections within European countries and show a seasonal shift that happened during 2021-2022. The output is models capable of monitoring the weekly risk of HPAI outbreaks, to support decision making.

KW - Animals

KW - Influenza in Birds/epidemiology

KW - Seasons

KW - Disease Outbreaks/veterinary

KW - Public Health

KW - Europe/epidemiology

U2 - 10.1038/s41598-023-42660-7

DO - 10.1038/s41598-023-42660-7

M3 - Journal article

C2 - 37717056

VL - 13

JO - Scientific Reports

JF - Scientific Reports

SN - 2045-2322

M1 - 15396

ER -

ID: 367601534