Delaying the peak of the COVID-19 epidemic with travel restrictions
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Delaying the peak of the COVID-19 epidemic with travel restrictions. / Græsbøll, Kaare; Christiansen, Lasse Engbo; Thygesen, Uffe Høgsbro; Kirkeby, Carsten.
In: Epidemiologic Methods, Vol. 10, No. s1, 20200042, 2021.Research output: Contribution to journal › Journal article › Research › peer-review
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TY - JOUR
T1 - Delaying the peak of the COVID-19 epidemic with travel restrictions
AU - Græsbøll, Kaare
AU - Christiansen, Lasse Engbo
AU - Thygesen, Uffe Høgsbro
AU - Kirkeby, Carsten
PY - 2021
Y1 - 2021
N2 - Objectives: Travel restrictions is an often-used tool for governments to prevent the spread of COVID-19. Methods: We here used a simple simulation model to investigate the potential effects of travel restrictions within a country. Results: We found that travel restrictions can delay the peak of the epidemic considerably, but do not affect the spread within the country. We also investigated the effect of implementing travel restrictions early or later in the epidemic, and found that fast implementation is crucial for delaying the epidemic. Conclusions: Fast implementation of travel restrictions is crucial for delaying the peak of a subsequent outbreak of COVID-19 within a country.
AB - Objectives: Travel restrictions is an often-used tool for governments to prevent the spread of COVID-19. Methods: We here used a simple simulation model to investigate the potential effects of travel restrictions within a country. Results: We found that travel restrictions can delay the peak of the epidemic considerably, but do not affect the spread within the country. We also investigated the effect of implementing travel restrictions early or later in the epidemic, and found that fast implementation is crucial for delaying the epidemic. Conclusions: Fast implementation of travel restrictions is crucial for delaying the peak of a subsequent outbreak of COVID-19 within a country.
KW - COVID-19
KW - Pandemic
KW - Simulation model
KW - Travel restrictions
KW - Within-country spread
U2 - 10.1515/em-2020-0042
DO - 10.1515/em-2020-0042
M3 - Journal article
AN - SCOPUS:85102514821
VL - 10
JO - Epidemiologic Methods
JF - Epidemiologic Methods
SN - 2194-9263
IS - s1
M1 - 20200042
ER -
ID: 258900208